Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000743 0.000849 0.000962 0.001090 0.001231 0.001381 0.001552
2025-01-19 0.000563 0.000708 0.000872 0.001072 0.001305 0.001567 0.001883
2025-01-26 0.000487 0.000652 0.000848 0.001096 0.001397 0.001747 0.002182
2025-02-02 0.000427 0.000605 0.000826 0.001115 0.001477 0.001911 0.002463
2025-02-09 0.000365 0.000547 0.000781 0.001097 0.001505 0.002007 0.002660
2025-02-16 0.000313 0.000494 0.000736 0.001073 0.001520 0.002083 0.002830
2025-02-23 0.000282 0.000466 0.000721 0.001086 0.001580 0.002214 0.003071
2025-03-02 0.000254 0.000440 0.000705 0.001094 0.001633 0.002336 0.003301
2025-03-09 0.000219 0.000398 0.000663 0.001062 0.001628 0.002379 0.003428
2025-03-16 0.000188 0.000360 0.000623 0.001029 0.001619 0.002416 0.003544
2025-03-23 0.000169 0.000339 0.000605 0.001027 0.001651 0.002507 0.003735
2025-03-30 0.000152 0.000320 0.000590 0.001027 0.001685 0.002601 0.003930
2025-04-06 0.000135 0.000297 0.000568 0.001016 0.001703 0.002673 0.004099
2025-04-13 0.000118 0.000274 0.000542 0.000998 0.001709 0.002728 0.004245
2025-04-20 0.000111 0.000267 0.000543 0.001021 0.001777 0.002874 0.004520
2025-04-27 0.000103 0.000259 0.000541 0.001039 0.001838 0.003009 0.004782
2025-05-04 0.000091 0.000240 0.000519 0.001022 0.001843 0.003063 0.004929
2025-05-11 0.000079 0.000221 0.000495 0.000999 0.001838 0.003100 0.005052
2025-05-18 0.000073 0.000213 0.000491 0.001011 0.001888 0.003220 0.005297
2025-05-25 0.000067 0.000205 0.000485 0.001019 0.001931 0.003331 0.005529
2025-06-01 0.000058 0.000187 0.000458 0.000989 0.001910 0.003342 0.005616
2025-06-08 0.000049 0.000170 0.000432 0.000958 0.001887 0.003349 0.005694
2025-06-15 0.000045 0.000161 0.000422 0.000956 0.001912 0.003431 0.005886